RI
RumbleOn, Inc. (RMBL)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 revenue fell 20.5% YoY to $244.7M on lower powersports unit volumes and a sharp downturn at Wholesale Express; GAAP net loss was $9.7M (–$0.26/sh). Adjusted EBITDA was $7.0M (–$0.7M YoY) as SG&A fell $12.8M to $61.1M .
- Results missed Wall Street consensus: revenue $244.7M vs $281.7M* and EPS –$0.26 vs –$0.205*; the revenue shortfall (~$37M, ~13%) and EPS miss reflect weaker new unit volumes and transportation softness. Adjusted EBITDA held positive amid cost controls [GetEstimates; see tables].
- Mix/merchandising offset: Powersports GPU rose 5.2% to $5,365 and new unit gross margin expanded to 13.5% (from 12.5%); pre‑owned gross margin normalized to 16.3% vs an elevated prior year comp .
- Liquidity update: Unrestricted cash declined to $41.1M (from $85.3M at 12/31), non‑vehicle net debt rose to $188.2M; the company repaid $38.8M of 6.75% converts in January and continues engaging an advisor on refinancing .
- Management tone: CEO underscores turnaround progress and cost discipline; expects Wholesale Express to be “a large step back” in 2025 but positive EBITDA, with potential future integration into powersports; watch for capital structure actions as a stock catalyst .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Cost discipline and operating leverage: SG&A down $12.8M YoY to $61.1M; Adjusted SG&A down 20.8% to $57.5M (85.6% of GP vs 87.9% prior). Quote: “the team is making progress on our turnaround initiatives” — CEO Michael Quartieri .
- Margin mix/merchandising: Powersports GPU up 5.2% to $5,365; new unit gross margin improved to 13.5% (vs 12.5%); F&I and fixed ops GPU rose modestly YoY per unit .
- Balance sheet actions: Repaid $38.8M converts at maturity; still evaluating refinancing options to lower cost of capital and extend maturities .
What Went Wrong
- Topline/volume pressure: Revenue –20.5% YoY to $244.7M on 20.5% decline in total powersports unit sales and steep contraction in transportation services .
- Wholesale Express reset: Vehicles transported –65%, segment revenue –61.5% and gross profit –68.6% as broker departures weighed; management still expects 2025 to be “a large step back” YoY .
- Cash flow and liquidity: Operating cash flow –$6.9M vs +$17.0M prior year (benefited by loan sale in 2024); unrestricted cash down to $41.1M; non‑vehicle net debt up to $188.2M .
Financial Results
Summary vs Prior Quarters
Q1 2025 Segment Detail (vs Q1 2024)
Q1 2025 KPIs
Guidance Changes
Note: Management does not provide quantitative revenue/EPS guidance; commentary above reflects qualitative targets and focus areas .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Although we experienced a year‑over‑year volume decline in our powersports segment, the team is making progress on our turnaround initiatives, and we are looking forward to building on this momentum.” — CEO Michael Quartieri (press release) .
- “Excluding the underperformance in Wholesale Express this quarter, our Adjusted EBITDA would have been up year‑over‑year despite the 20.5% year‑over‑year decline in units sold.” — CEO .
- “We still expect 2025 results from [Wholesale Express] to take a large step back from ‘24, but… [it is] far better positioned for more sustainable long‑term growth and potential further integration into the powersports segment.” — CEO .
- “We… fully repaid the $38.8 million outstanding of our 6.75% convertible notes… [and] continue to… optimize our capital structure… and extend the debt maturity profile.” — CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Pre‑owned inventory and Cash Offer tool: Company can be “as aggressive as we want” but focuses on quality and profitability; feels inventory levels are appropriate .
- Year‑end inventory outlook: Expect to end roughly around 2024 levels, “maybe a little bit higher” on normal inflation .
- Tariff impact: Primary exposure is MX/CA/JP; China finished product not a major risk. OEMs largely absorbing tariff costs so far; no evidence of consumer pull‑forward; price effects diffuse across product set .
- Capital structure: Refinancing discussions ongoing with advisor; objective to lower cost of capital and extend maturities .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025: Actual revenue $244.7M vs consensus $281.7M*; GAAP EPS –$0.26 vs consensus –$0.205* — both missed [GetEstimates].
- Prior quarters provide context to estimate accuracy: Q4 2024 revenue $269.6M vs $278.4M*; EPS –$1.58 vs –$0.313*; Q3 2024 revenue $295.0M vs $301.4M*; EPS –$0.32 vs –$0.165* [GetEstimates].
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Note: For Q3 2024, S&P shows actual EPS –0.272 while the 8‑K shows –0.32 due to reporting conventions; use company‑reported –0.32 for comparability [GetEstimates].
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Demand remains soft for new units while pre‑owned shows relative resilience; mix and merchandising lifted GPU and new unit margins despite unit declines .
- The sizable revenue/EPS miss vs consensus was driven by volume weakness and a transportation segment reset; near‑term estimate revisions likely move lower on revenue, with EBITDA more resilient given SG&A controls .
- Liquidity tightened Q/Q as cash declined and inventory rose seasonally; watch for refinancing progress and potential debt cost relief as a catalyst .
- Wholesale Express is a headwind in 2025 but expected to be EBITDA positive; execution on rebuilding broker capacity and any integration with powersports is a swing factor .
- Management is focused on SG&A as a % of gross profit (75% long‑term target), suggesting further cost actions are probable if macro softness persists .
- Tariff risks currently muted by OEM absorption and limited China finished goods exposure; monitor policy developments and OEM pricing behavior for demand elasticity .
- Near‑term trading: sentiment likely tracks estimate cuts and refinancing headlines; medium‑term thesis hinges on cost reduction, inventory discipline, pre‑owned scale advantages, and stabilization of Wholesale Express .
Additional Reference Data
- Cash flow and liquidity (Q1 2025): Operating cash flow –$6.9M; Free cash flow –$7.4M; Unrestricted cash $41.1M; Total available liquidity $171.4M; Non‑vehicle net debt $188.2M .
- Balance sheet progress (Q4 2024): FY 2024 operating cash flow $99.4M; non‑vehicle net debt reduced to $182.1M; converts repaid in Jan. 2025 .